← Hobby Lords Radiant Origins Store Championship
Water GenbuTier 1
at Hobby Lords Radiant Origins Store Championship
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.1%
avg ELO +8.1 per match
expected value
52.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1154
· median 1154
· range 1154–1154
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1159
Q3 1297
1482
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 10.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.3% | -11.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +16.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
